The Great Fracture

Petermann Glacier September 2008 [High Res]
Image by NASA

Every mature market experiences rising competition that carves off specialized pieces of the leaders’ established footprint. It’s how Southwest, JetBlue and others brought the major traditional airlines to their knees (and bankruptcy). For social networking leaders, the great fracture is upon them. Those of us on the front line are left to pick networks and tools.

Facebook has run away with the race. Twitter, LinkedIn, and a host of smaller social networks have taken their seats behind the leader. Yet as time continues, more and more niche networks like Tumblr, Instagram, shiny object du jour Pinterest, Reddit and others carve off their piece of the pie.

The phenomena of so many social media choices has moved from creating to social media fatigue for the most faithful to full-on overload. Even the most tech savvy people find themselves making tough choices.

Social Media’s Parallel with Cable TV

Leading social networking sites

Television broadcast networks ABC, CBS and NBC once had a similar lock on television programming. Then cable TV became a serious competitor in the 70s. The FCC mandated that cable TV providers have 20 or more channels in 1976, which began the great broadcast fracture. The rest is history with cable systems now offering hundreds of channels, fracturing viewers by every demographic and interest type imaginable.

Like the hundreds of cable TV channels, social media choices overwhelm the digital public. Social content channels attract increasingly narrow demographics, like photographers, HR professionals, women, or people of Scottish descent.

This niche oriented content approach clearly does not fit for every demographic. One size does not fit all. Fantastic niche tools to some, shiny objects to others, new entries from Quora, Empire Avenue, Google+, Klout, Tumblr, Posterous, Instagram and Pinterest have all carved off niche users in recent months and years.

These upstarts fail to capture dominant majorities. A common complaint about Google+ is its testosterone heavy user base. Pinterest suffers the exact opposite gender imbalance, an estrogen fest.

In addition to dividing stakeholders, the many content choices cause less use on main networks. A recent Gartner study showed 24 percent of social media users are using their favorite social network less often. Even more notable, 31 percent of early adopters show signs of fatigue. Some social media wonks refuse to join or participate in new technologies unless they are disruptive. Commenting is also generally down.

Meanwhile ubernetwork Facebook is experiencing a new exodus of people leaving for other less demanding venues or to simply not social network. And on the other hand, Google+ gets new members like hot cakes, but can’t seem to keep them engaged.

Can’t Be All Things

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For some reason, I just don’t enjoy Pinterest.

Social media experts dub most of these tools as must have. They spend entire days online mastering the many tools and chatting away online. When questioned, they demand the necessity of their homogenized version of the social web. Yet when pressed they can’t seem to deliver ROI, an unresolved flaw that dogs most experts through the months and years. Meanwhile corporations are overburdened managing scores of corporate social media accounts to no end.

The problem with the common expert’s approach is that it’s Just. Not. True.

First, it’s bad marketing to push tools on corporate and nonprofit marketers without understanding their stakeholders. As we have clearly seen the tools are becoming increasingly niche oriented, catering to unique demographics. Second, it’s wrong to expect individuals to use every major social network tool, all of the time.

Personally, I could care less about Empire Avenue, Foursquare, Gowalla, Klout, LinkedIn, Pinterest, Quora, and Tumblr, all tools and networks that have built respectable followings. While I have examined all of these networks and tools for professional reasons, none of them compel me enough to sacrifice free time or reallocate social networking hours. In the case of Empire Avenue, I deleted my account for ethical reasons.

Really there is no more time to give. What needs to happen is a paring back.

When I have expressed disdain for a network or a tool, its advocates have bombarded me with peer pressure about why I needed to be there. I just don’t get it. It’s unreasonable to expect a unilateral amiable review and presence for all social media.

Follow the People

Cerro Torre

Different stakeholder groups will migrate to preferred networks and tools. This is the way humans use content and media, just like similar people will watch the same TV shows.

If you are a marketer, this means you simply need to follow your stakeholders. As to the shiny object siren song, well, it’s always good to keep an open mind to tools, but you need not heed the false assumption of an omnipresent identity. In reality, your stakeholders have already fractured their media use. Now it’s time to follow them.

And to those who believe we need to be all present. Sorry. Everyone doesn’t have to like the same social media. It doesn’t mean your preferred choices are bad or in poor taste. People just like different things.

That’s what made social media great in the first place. When the blogging revolution ensured it catered to unique subject matter interests that the media couldn’t cover. People with unique and different hobbies and interests suddenly found a smorgasbord of content and conversations to participate in which prior to had not existed. It’s only in the past few years that the homogenization of social media consumption has occurred, in large part to make everything Facebook and Twitter centric.

The era of homogenized social media is over. The great fracture ensues.

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  • http://twitter.com/charityestrella Estrella Rosenberg

    Great post, Geoff! The amount of social media platforms is dizzying these days, and like every non-profit geek I love to check them all out and get a feel for what they might offer, but the bottom line is that I only have so much time in each day and the part of it that I spend on social networks has to be where my supporters, donors and volunteers are. Period. I think the only question you need to ask yourself when deciding whether to spend hours or days setting up content on the platform du jour is whether any of your constituents are there. If they are…have at it, if not, don’t waste time creating content and trying to drive them from the social network they use to the new one they don’t. 

    I know I haven’t commented in awhile (part of my own social media fatigue!) but I’m still reading your blog as often as I can :)

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      That’s fine, I’m blogging less so… LOL. It all works!  Thanks for your insights, Estrella!

  • http://social.razoo.com/ Ifdy Perez

    “As to the shiny object siren song, well, it’s always good to keep an open mind to tools, but you need not heed the false assumption of an omnipresent identity. In reality, your stakeholders have already fractured their media use. Now its time to follow them.” 

    This was great. Totally agree. No need to heed to the pressure of “being everywhere” because “everywhere” doesn’t apply to everyone. Kudos.

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      Heck, it doesn’t even apply to the biggest car companies.  Thanks, Fifty!

  • Henry Dunbar

    What’s the preferred social network for those of Scottish descent (me being in the direct bloodline of Gospatric I)?

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      KILTR

  • http://twitter.com/neicolec Neicole Crepeau

    I’m with you, Geoff. You need to know where your customers are and what you are trying to achieve, and then pick the right tools to reach those people and accomplish your goals.

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      Thanks, Neicole. And you can always move to new tools if appropriate. BTW< tried to comment on your blog last night and it had some issues accepting the comment. Just an FYI.

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/brianengland Brian England

    Nice post, nice perspective.  I am feeling a bit of fatigue myself (but am recently delighted by Instagram having just made the switch from Droid to an iPhone) and wonder what this will look like in 2 years. I think the great scattering will continue, people will settle in…but will it be with the same overall disdain people hold for email?  

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      I, too, love Instagram. One of my first go tos when I am tooling around.  I do think some of these socnets will get the rep you are talking about, and G+ is one of them if they make themselves dominant via SEM.

  • http://keithprivette.com @keithprivette

    Seems like many of these folks building these mini-social networks could team up and build businesses to solve problems or innovate a sector to reduce costs and create jobs we would all be better served. I know I think I am seriously consider scaling way back!  Good assessment Geoff!

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      I just don’t know how all the small ones stay in business.  I wonder. Hope you are doing well, Keith. Thanks for your grace!

      • http://keithprivette.com @keithprivette

        I do believe it is advertising, which I think is another bubble about to happen, once numbers come home to roost! Spending so much on advertising and noone converting to buy is going to be a problem in 2012!

  • http://twitter.com/joannefritz Joanne Fritz

    You always speak the truth, Geoff, even when it’s unpopular.  I’m glad you did on this topic. I think nonprofits need permission to stop hopping around at the behest of every social media expert. “Follow” is the right term….nonprofits follow their constituents.  They don’t prescribe what donors and volunteers should be doing. I doubt that any nonprofit supporter started a particular social media platform because their nonprofit did. They go on those platforms to follow their friends or family first and then might include their favorite causes or the causes of their friends. Or, in the case of our super hero supporters, they might lead their cause to a particular platform. Thanks for this thoughtful post!

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      I agree. The Pinterest example of late is a good reason for that. We know generally that most nonprofits have a strong donor base leaning towards women. But not all. Are the donors young women? If not, unlikely that pinterest is the right answer yet. Yet we are getting a wholesale Pinterest pitch, which I don’t think is smart.

      You can make the same argument for G+ going the other way BUT there is the free SEO component.  Anyway.  Thank you for the affirmation, I appreciate it Joanne.

  • Anonymous

    Sure, many “experts” believe you should be everywhere (and those with staffs to support it do quite well at that strategy, like AARP), but at the same time, there are still tons of nonprofits questioning whether they should be on social media at all (I ranted about this last week: http://www.smallact.com/blog/when-someone-asks-if-your-org-should-be-on-social-media-you-say-yes/ ). I think your response lies in the sensible middle: be strategic and use what makes sense for your organization.

    The risk of this approach, though, is simply getting entrenched in one or two particular networks without testing or trying new networks that pop up, and you never know what new networks might, in fact, be strategic for your organization. I’d say that everything is worth experimenting with, at least for a little while. It’s good to know what’s out there and how it’s being used (and how that usage is evolving). I think KaBOOM! does a good job of this (http://www.kaboom.org). But one shouldn’t experiment to the point where your primary networks or overall strategy suffer.

    • http://twitter.com/geoffliving Geoff Livingston

      I agree. It’s always, always about the people. If your parents and funders are on Pinterest, use it!  But also use the tools they are most likely to use. I also think that there are so many tools for different things that you have a bit of a choice as to which one best matches your culture. For example, I could be good at LinkedIn, but I don’t need to be.  I have other choices.

  • http://dempseymarketing.com/journal/media/ Robert Dempsey

    Here here Geoff. Totally with you on this one. So many social networks we need to “jump in before we become irrelevant” it’s insane. Google+ might be forcing our hands on joining and sharing content there, but that’s another story for another time.

    To your main point that social media is fracturing I hope it fractures faster. Perhaps then we can simply go where our customers are and not be spread so thin sharing the same stuff all over the place, or having to come up with content for each network.

    I long for the days long ago when all there was was blogging, Twitter was new and we could form great relationships on it, and Facebook required a college email address.

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  • http://dr1665.com/ Brian Driggs

    Word.

    I’ve been invited to Pinterest, but despite the rave reviews from a friend, I just can’t seem to bring myself to give a damn about curating a collection of stuff or whatever. We need to be where our customers are, but we are customers no different than them, so why the need for brands in public spaces. 

    Hell. We’ve seen how heinous “Citizens United” worked out for us, when corporations are given the same freedom as citizens. Is that really what we want from the digital, social web? Methinks not. 

    Fracture is inevitable. We are herd animals plain and simple. What we need to do is figure out how to selectively aggregate without isolating ourselves from the benefits of diversity. We all have things in common which enable us to realize the potential of our differences. 

  • Robert

    I could not care less about many of the social networks.

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